This market will resolve to “Yes” if Reza Pahlavi de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Reza Pahlavi will be considered to hold power if he exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state during the specified timeframe, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, exile leadership without effective authority inside Iran, nomination without effective authority, or ceremonial or transitional status without governing control will not qualify. If Iran experiences a period in which no individual exercises effective governing control, this will not alone qualify for a “Yes” resolution unless Reza Pahlavi subsequently meets the criteria above within the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
24H VOLUME
$11.8M
LIQUIDITY
$11.8M
BALANCE
$0
Comments (49)
bosworthwarren375 Sep 20
i think so
richsob Aug 26
Pahlavi called for another round of protests among the diaspora scheduled for September 19th in Toronto, but this time he said people have to buy tickets to attend 🥶🥶🥶
cerco Aug 23
We'll see
STANIS11 Aug 11
maybe
cart Jul 25
dis a bond
OkieDokiePeon Jun 17
so you say he is good in predicting what won't happen?
Milin-dc Jun 6
Money is money. No points for style.
strider- Jun 6
this is true
LiquidatedDegen Jun 5
TSYBKA doesn't know how to predict anything. He just buys NO shares in hopes that nothing will happen. Anytime Schizo Tsybka bought YES shares he's always lost.
krokant May 21
lol lmao
revinw3 May 18
I don't know
ryeguy May 18
oops
0xbF91E2c097DA8de4e9B48999bA0215F99bb60ea0-1775029463067 May 4
He is basically tying Lebron James in odds of leading Iran, the delusion here is crazy
Hamed82 Apr 19
I confirm this jawid Shah👑
JuicyPusy Apr 15
"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?" market went to ZERO 🤣🤣 Every Yestard there is selling everything
0x6d33aff0bFaaE14AbDB81DC93CB1dFd0828D360E-1770002215824 Apr 15
Javid Shah
taut-dogwood Apr 12
based
Talophex Apr 8
So help me god if I have to personally buy enough No shares to correct the price of this market I will.
buyrightbake Apr 8
Reza unfollows Trump and Bibi after the ceasefire agreement lol [link removed]
0x9f1dB9CDCB61A4E0eEF069C86F2405EB0dAEc24e-1770972994844 Apr 7
This aged like milk. Nobody in iran wants him
0x9f1dB9CDCB61A4E0eEF069C86F2405EB0dAEc24e-1770972994844 Apr 7
This aged like milk
0x6d33aff0bFaaE14AbDB81DC93CB1dFd0828D360E-1770002215824 Mar 28
We'll see buddy
Talophex Mar 26
I need you to sit down when I tell you this. Alright you’re seated? Not only can you buy more, you can buy a LOT more.
trustmebruh Mar 26
buy yes and thank me later
sharingan-kakashi Mar 26
The retardation required to hold yes here is at levels never before observed.
poligamer Mar 25
i wish i could buy more of this
0x8B22A43bEC83649bbD80E14daffc4911FC8baB06-1758914595788 Mar 14
And why did they all appear in January of 2026 with flags? Where were they from 1979 to December of 2025?
tsybka Mar 12
REZA REZA REZA
0xe2c49bF0abf32EE9d40Cb556C4E2e666CA165070-1758040459722 Mar 11
This guy didnt even teach his own children farsi, what kind of an Iranian leader is that? Iranian monarchists are cuck losers who don't understand Iran's history, your main fucking arguments probably oh ya but they had mini skirts back then.
DEGENKHAN Mar 10
THE REZA THE GZA AND THE OLD DIRTY BASTARD
0x04E9Ca12B0fa840A0bAa0c656BD41E82f55501E2-1768505660720 Mar 9
I see that leftists, the dim-witted, and those who are funded by dictatorial and terroristic regimes are everywhere. These are the same people who live in the free world and use that freedom to promote their backward ideology, yet they do not want that same freedom to exist equally for all people around the world! :)
pelpa Mar 8
He's the son of the OG sha he's been and in circles
0x0282b57c62c76A734Aa43Ec2ad5c6D790181D571-1757424963837 Mar 7
Javid Shah! 👑❤️
calibur55. Mar 7
Oh look, you’re here too. I think I saw you in New York in the middle of those ‘professional protesters’ who get paid to shout slogans. The funny part is, if you asked them to point out Iran on a map, they’d probably point somewhere near Denmark :))))))))))))))))))
Pierce-81 Mar 6
How much did it sting when your boy Khamenei died drenched in his piss thanks to Isreal?
JewedGambler Mar 6
as a non-iranian, i can guarantee you that iranians are fucking retarded
0x04E9Ca12B0fa840A0bAa0c656BD41E82f55501E2-1768505660720 Mar 6
As an Iranian, He's the only alternative that Iranians are calling for and are united under his command. Everything has been planned long ago ;)
Snow-White Mar 4
no $7000 for you, BROKEY dumbfuck
Snow-White Mar 4
dumb phaggot bootlicker lol
Bperil Mar 3
Pahlavists are cucked failure people who basically exist on vibes and try to skew the news in their favor while the W.H. and CIA privately despise them.
Nardo99 Mar 3
No
FrenchSkollman Mar 2
Your expérience ?
daadras Mar 2
I'm Iranian, and I'm telling you the majarity of ppl not only want him as the transitional leader but also want him as the king of Iran after the referendum. If you ask any Iranian, they will tell you that majorly of ppl will vote to constitutional monarchy.
Dr.Mundo Mar 2
And? You literally added zero relevant information to this event.
0x28C4894F59ad8f8FBc2807A83dB98D77e02A4B83-1767905059691 Mar 2
Then Get the fuck out bitch
DFK Mar 2
If you haven't understood by now that Trump doesn't give 2 ducks about democracy, you are helpless. Trump will endorse no one, he will simply recognize the winner once there is one, likely some kind of strongman.
Dr.Mundo Mar 1
Probably not this year. Trump didn't endorse him explicitly, may push for a democracy or some sort of vote.
TheGoonMaster Mar 1
Fuck that guy; I've got more charisma.
0x1E4Bfdc88488E1B69B855bab282e5BB78Cda07fC-1768522258086 Mar 1
This guy is a fraud. No political experience nor no charisma.
