This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
24H VOLUME
$38.4K
LIQUIDITY
$38.4K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
0xEmoni Sep 6
NO FOR 2026 2027 2028.....
ponczyk Aug 26
nice bond...
vladovaella2 Aug 25
how
Lakan Aug 13
a bond
STANIS11 Aug 11
never move because $ = no sens btc sats msats have sense
maimaiaaa Aug 9
Interesting point on the market probability. Which input would change your view first?
wei yi Aug 9
from his early
imHoang Aug 9
с твоей ставкой можно вообще не думать о выйгрыше
Btc Aug 8
NO NO NO
ALL-in-GG Aug 2
he forgot the password
AndyBurnham Jul 31
ok
Ginsu2000 Jul 19
That is my intention
SIMOMEGA Jul 3
the source is that he made it the fuck up
SIMOMEGA Jul 3
yet u have no shares as of now, lmao
SIMOMEGA Jul 3
you dont say
vbn87 Jul 2
The odds strongly favor Satoshi making no Bitcoin transfers from his early mining addresses in 2026.
MunichWeatherFrog Jul 2
what is this market
goodmorningsuuu Jun 30
he ded
gjj7tbmkk763ggg Jun 29
If Satoshi wakes up on June 30, 2026, subscribe to my X com
10101001010 Jun 27
source?
sonnguyen95 Jun 25
8% at 25 June is basically a 16% APY, thanks for free money
Mission3 Jun 22
Yes i think satoshi will cash out some btc for their expences
Betan22 Jun 19
Ni cagando ese man mueve algo jajaja
0x729CAbDf94be5099c1bf13A9178EB815E798C244-1770948158416 Jun 18
hhahaha
0x729CAbDf94be5099c1bf13A9178EB815E798C244-1770948158416 Jun 13
impossible
BigT666999 Jun 13
It happened today he moved bitcoin
0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 6
Order flow worth watching here.
AndyBurnham May 5
palm beach pete
aoudauihdsfiukj May 5
you are either wealthy, or extremely dumb low iq person
gjj7tbmkk763ggg May 4
Adam Back and Bram Cohen
garciakathy May 4
Who is Satoshi
Thefbi May 3
Naaah
sramesh88 Apr 21
ni
fis8 Apr 18
gh
darmstadtiumofficial Apr 12
then some people here will make and some will loose a lot of money
mountaincat Apr 10
the answer is no
ArtIronman Apr 9
What if the New York Times investigation about Adam Back turns out to be true and he moves his BTC to protect that fortune?
bagseon1 Apr 9
hh
IWillBeRich Apr 8
U can make so much more than a 12x by shorting. I don’t think so
goalone Apr 4
pls dont
Jkk21 Apr 2
Quantum computing
Siliskin Mar 26
no
Siliskin Mar 26
lets go satoshi
Siliskin Mar 26
mey be
IWillBeRich Mar 26
on a serious note, why are people betting yes? hedging?
Abces Mar 25
i ll cut my d*ck if this happen lol
Abces Mar 25
never
telosintel Mar 3
No way this happens
Strycker2016 Feb 26
If Satoshi moves any Bitcoin, Bitcoin is a scam
beenraping Feb 12
bot, enjoy 0 airdrop and getting filtered out
